Strabane Athleticvs
Armagh City
COMPLETEDNorthern-Ireland · Championship · 10/2/2026, 6:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Strabane Athletic · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 2-1 (9%), 1-2 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Strabane Athletic 0-0 Armagh City
Original prediction
Strabane Athletic
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 6 September 2026 at 04:49 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.71 | 53.1% | 42.4% | -10.7 pts |
| Draw | 3.85 | 23.6% | 24.3% | 0.7 pts |
| Away | 3.89 | 23.3% | 33.4% | 10.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.85 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-10.7 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–28%
Predicted outcome
Strabane Athletic
Probability
42.4%
Model confidence
42.4%
Strabane Athletic has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 11 · avg 1.00/2.20
GF 5 · GA 10 · avg 1.00/2.00