Stourbridgevs
Real Bedford
COMPLETEDEngland · Non League Premier - Southern Central · 9/22/2026, 6:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Real Bedford · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 1-2 (10%), 0-2 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Stourbridge 1-4 Real Bedford
Original prediction
Real Bedford
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 8 September 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 4.10 | 21.7% | 22.6% | 0.9 pts |
| Draw | 3.73 | 23.9% | 23.5% | -0.4 pts |
| Away | 1.64 | 54.4% | 53.9% | -0.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.64 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-0.5 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.1–210%
- 3.0–210%
Predicted outcome
Real Bedford
Probability
53.9%
Model confidence
53.9%
Real Bedford has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 9 · avg 1.00/1.80
GF 13 · GA 5 · avg 2.60/1.00