Stourbridgevs
Racing Club Warwick
COMPLETEDEngland · Non League Premier - Southern Central · 10/3/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Stourbridge · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 1-0 (12%), 0-0 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Stourbridge 0-1 Racing Club Warwick
Original prediction
Stourbridge
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 19 September 2026 at 00:03 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.77 | 50.7% | 47.3% | -3.4 pts |
| Draw | 3.66 | 24.6% | 26.1% | 1.5 pts |
| Away | 3.64 | 24.7% | 26.7% | 1.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-3.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.1–012%
- 3.0–011%
Predicted outcome
Stourbridge
Probability
47.3%
Model confidence
47.3%
Stourbridge has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 9 · avg 1.20/1.80
GF 6 · GA 11 · avg 1.20/2.20