Stourbridgevs
Leighton Town
COMPLETEDEngland · Non League Premier - Southern Central · 10/10/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Stourbridge · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 2-1 (10%), 1-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Stourbridge 2-1 Leighton Town
Original prediction
Stourbridge
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 26 September 2026 at 00:03 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.83 | 49.1% | 51.0% | 1.9 pts |
| Draw | 3.51 | 25.6% | 24.0% | -1.6 pts |
| Away | 3.54 | 25.3% | 25.0% | -0.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.83 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
1.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.2–110%
- 3.1–010%
Predicted outcome
Stourbridge
Probability
51.0%
Model confidence
51.0%
Stourbridge has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/1.40
GF 6 · GA 15 · avg 1.20/3.00