Stourbridgevs
Leamington
COMPLETEDEngland · Non League Premier - Southern Central · 9/1/2026, 6:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Stourbridge · BTTS No · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-0 (12%), 1-0 (10%), 2-1 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Stourbridge 0-2 Leamington
Original prediction
Stourbridge
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:03 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.03 | 44.3% | 55.7% | 11.4 pts |
| Draw | 3.38 | 26.6% | 23.3% | -3.3 pts |
| Away | 3.09 | 29.1% | 21.0% | -8.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
11.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–012%
- 2.1–010%
- 3.2–110%
Predicted outcome
Stourbridge
Probability
55.7%
Model confidence
55.7%
Stourbridge has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 9 · avg 1.40/1.80
GF 4 · GA 10 · avg 0.80/2.00