Åstorpvs
Qviding FIF
COMPLETEDSweden · Division 2 - Västra Götaland · 9/13/2026, 11:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Qviding FIF · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (9%), 1-2 (8%), 2-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Åstorp 1-2 Qviding FIF
Original prediction
Qviding FIF
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 30 August 2026 at 00:02 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.88 | 48.0% | 37.2% | -10.8 pts |
| Draw | 3.83 | 23.5% | 20.4% | -3.1 pts |
| Away | 3.17 | 28.4% | 42.4% | 13.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 2.17 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
13.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–19%
- 2.1–28%
- 3.2–27%
Predicted outcome
Qviding FIF
Probability
42.4%
Model confidence
42.4%
Qviding FIF has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00
GF 7 · GA 9 · avg 1.40/1.80