Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Onsala · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Åstorp are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (DDLLL), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.20 conceded, while Onsala are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (WLDLD), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Onsala hold a 7.0-point power-rating edge (40.0 v 47.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 43.8% in the Division 2 - Västra Götaland, while Onsala holds the strongest overall chance at 44% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 60% BTTS chance and 57% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Onsala
Probability
43.8%
Model confidence
43.8%
Onsala has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 11 · avg 1.20/2.20
GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20