Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Dalstorps · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 0-2 (11%), 1-1 (11%), 1-2 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Åstorp 1-3 Dalstorps
Original prediction
Dalstorps
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 6 September 2026 at 05:23 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.38 | 38.5% | 21.1% | -17.4 pts |
| Draw | 3.79 | 24.3% | 20.4% | -3.9 pts |
| Away | 2.46 | 37.2% | 58.5% | 21.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.47 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
21.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.0–211%
- 2.1–111%
- 3.1–210%
Predicted outcome
Dalstorps
Probability
58.5%
Model confidence
58.5%
Dalstorps has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
ÅstorpLWLWL
GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
DalstorpsDWWLW
GF 9 · GA 4 · avg 1.80/0.80
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
ÅstorpDalstorps
40.6Attack63.8
44.9Defence63.8
37.7Form62.3
43.4Power63.8
0.91xG2.10