Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-2
7%
LowconfidenceStorfors are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLWLL), averaging 0.60 scored and 2.20 conceded, while Umea FF are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (DDWLD), averaging 2.40 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and umea FF hold a 6.1-point power-rating edge (32.1 v 38.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-2 the most likely result in the Division 2 - Norrland, favouring a draw with 6.9% confidence, a 85% BTTS chance and 88% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
20.2%
Model confidence
6.9%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
StorforsLLWLL
GF 3 · GA 11 · avg 0.60/2.20
BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Umea FFDDWLD
GF 12 · GA 9 · avg 2.40/1.80
BTTS 5/5O2.5 3/5
StorforsUmea FF
46.2Attack59.0
15.4Defence23.1
28.2Form28.2
32.1Power38.2
2.33xG2.86