Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Storfors · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-2
Storfors are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WWLLW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Fransta are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LWLLL), averaging 1.60 scored and 3.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 9 passed 2.5 goals, and Storfors hold a 2.0-point power-rating edge (35.5 v 33.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 6.9% in the Division 2 - Norrland, while Storfors holds the strongest overall chance at 46% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 85% BTTS chance and 88% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Storfors
Probability
46.5%
Model confidence
6.9%
Storfors has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 8 · avg 1.60/1.60
GF 8 · GA 16 · avg 1.60/3.20