Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Fana · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-2 (7%), 1-2 (7%), 1-1 (6%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Stord 3-5 Fana
Original prediction
Fana
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:15 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.34 | 27.0% | 33.0% | 5.9 pts |
| Draw | 4.01 | 22.5% | 23.8% | 1.3 pts |
| Away | 1.79 | 50.5% | 43.2% | -7.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.79 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-7.3 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–27%
- 2.1–27%
- 3.1–16%
Predicted outcome
Fana
Probability
43.2%
Model confidence
43.2%
Fana has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
StordDDLDL
GF 9 · GA 17 · avg 1.80/3.40
BTTS 5/5O2.5 4/5
FanaDWWLW
GF 11 · GA 5 · avg 2.20/1.00
BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
StordFana
61.5Attack100.0
41.0Defence66.7
50.0Form66.7
51.9Power74.3
2.16xG2.45