Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Djerv · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-3 (7%), 2-2 (6%), 1-3 (6%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Stord 3-4 Djerv
Original prediction
Djerv
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 4 September 2026 at 00:01 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 4.36 | 20.6% | 25.5% | 4.9 pts |
| Draw | 4.73 | 19.0% | 16.8% | -2.2 pts |
| Away | 1.49 | 60.4% | 57.7% | -2.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.49 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-2.7 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–37%
- 2.2–26%
- 3.1–36%
Predicted outcome
Djerv
Probability
57.7%
Model confidence
57.7%
Djerv has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
StordDLDDL
GF 11 · GA 19 · avg 2.20/3.80
BTTS 5/5O2.5 4/5
DjervWLWWW
GF 13 · GA 9 · avg 2.60/1.80
BTTS 3/5O2.5 5/5
StordDjerv
61.5Attack91.0
41.0Defence44.9
50.0Form65.4
51.9Power66.2
2.27xG3.32