Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Stonava · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-1 (7%), 3-1 (7%), 2-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Stonava 1-3 Vratimov
Original prediction
Stonava
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 00:57 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.25 | 40.0% | 45.9% | 5.9 pts |
| Draw | 3.50 | 25.7% | 23.8% | -1.9 pts |
| Away | 2.62 | 34.3% | 30.3% | -4.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
5.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–17%
- 2.3–17%
- 3.2–27%
Predicted outcome
Stonava
Probability
45.9%
Model confidence
45.9%
Stonava has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
StonavaWLDDW
GF 11 · GA 7 · avg 2.20/1.40
BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
VratimovWWLDL
GF 10 · GA 8 · avg 2.00/1.60
BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
StonavaVratimov
83.3Attack74.4
66.7Defence27.8
66.7Form54.4
71.2Power52.0
2.94xG1.95