Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Stonava · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 3-2
Stonava are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LWLWW), averaging 2.00 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Vratimov are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWLWW), averaging 1.80 scored and 0.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Stonava hold a 5.4-point power-rating edge (57.4 v 52.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 53.3% in the 4. liga - Divizie F, while Stonava holds the strongest overall chance at 53% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 84% BTTS chance and 88% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Stonava
Probability
53.3%
Model confidence
53.3%
Stonava has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 10 · avg 2.00/2.00
GF 9 · GA 2 · avg 1.80/0.40