Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Stonava · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1
Stonava are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLDWL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Frýdlant are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WLWWL), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Stonava hold a 13.1-point power-rating edge (57.4 v 44.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 60.1% in the 4. liga - Divizie F, while Stonava holds the strongest overall chance at 60% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 64% BTTS chance and 68% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Stonava
Probability
60.1%
Model confidence
60.1%
Stonava has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 9 · avg 1.20/1.80
GF 9 · GA 6 · avg 1.80/1.20