GGOALVIO

Poland · III Liga - Group 1 · 4/12/2025, 10:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Stomil Olsztyn · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 2-0

Highconfidence

Stomil Olsztyn are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LDWLL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Sokół Aleksandrów are 0W-0D-5L in their last 5 (LLLLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 2.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Stomil Olsztyn hold a 19.7-point power-rating edge (45.4 v 25.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 63.6% in the III Liga - Group 1, while Stomil Olsztyn holds the strongest overall chance at 64% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 50% BTTS chance and 55% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Stomil Olsztyn

Probability

63.6%

Model confidence

63.6%

Stomil Olsztyn has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Stomil OlsztynLDWLL

GF 7 · GA 8 · avg 1.40/1.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Sokół AleksandrówLLLLL

GF 4 · GA 14 · avg 0.80/2.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Stomil OlsztynSokół Aleksandrów
43.1Attack25.5
45.1Defence29.4
41.2Form11.8
45.4Power25.7
2.12xG0.81
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