GGOALVIO

Poland · Cup · 8/9/2023, 3:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Stomil Olsztyn · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Stomil Olsztyn are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DWLDW), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Radunia Stężyca are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DDWLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Radunia Stężyca hold a 19.0-point power-rating edge (23.7 v 42.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 36.9% in the Cup, while Stomil Olsztyn holds the strongest overall chance at 37% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 66% BTTS chance and 64% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Stomil Olsztyn

Probability

36.9%

Model confidence

36.9%

Stomil Olsztyn has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Stomil OlsztynDWLDW

GF 7 · GA 4 · avg 1.40/0.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Radunia StężycaDDWLL

GF 4 · GA 6 · avg 0.80/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 1/5
Stomil OlsztynRadunia Stężyca
33.3Attack50.0
33.3Defence16.7
0.0Form50.0
23.7Power42.7
1.72xG1.60
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