GGOALVIO

Poland · III Liga - Group 1 · 3/16/2025, 12:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Stomil Olsztyn are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLWLL), averaging 1.60 scored and 3.00 conceded, while Broń Radom are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLWDL), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Broń Radom hold a 3.7-point power-rating edge (45.4 v 49.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 34.4% in the III Liga - Group 1, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 34% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 49% BTTS chance and 42% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

34.4%

Model confidence

34.4%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Stomil OlsztynLLWLL

GF 8 · GA 15 · avg 1.60/3.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Broń RadomWLWDL

GF 10 · GA 9 · avg 2.00/1.80

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Stomil OlsztynBroń Radom
43.1Attack38.2
45.1Defence57.8
41.2Form47.1
45.4Power49.1
1.17xG1.18
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