GGOALVIO

Poland · III Liga - Group 1 · 10/6/2024, 1:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Bełchatów · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Stomil Olsztyn are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (DLLLW), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.40 conceded, while Bełchatów are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (WLDLL), averaging 1.80 scored and 3.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Bełchatów hold a 9.3-point power-rating edge (45.4 v 54.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 45.2% in the III Liga - Group 1, while Bełchatów holds the strongest overall chance at 45% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 62% BTTS chance and 59% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Bełchatów

Probability

45.2%

Model confidence

45.2%

Bełchatów has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Stomil OlsztynDLLLW

GF 5 · GA 12 · avg 1.00/2.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
BełchatówWLDLL

GF 9 · GA 15 · avg 1.80/3.00

BTTS 5/5O2.5 5/5
Stomil OlsztynBełchatów
43.1Attack56.9
45.1Defence52.0
41.2Form54.9
45.4Power54.7
1.31xG1.79
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