Stoke Cityvs
West Brom
COMPLETEDEngland · League Cup · 8/8/2023, 6:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Stoke City · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Stoke City are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLWLD), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.20 conceded, while West Brom are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LLLLD), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Stoke City hold a 43.4-point power-rating edge (67.0 v 23.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 51.8% in the League Cup, while Stoke City holds the strongest overall chance at 52% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 59% BTTS chance and 62% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Stoke City
Probability
51.8%
Model confidence
51.8%
Stoke City has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20
GF 6 · GA 12 · avg 1.20/2.40