Friendlies ClubsFriendlies Clubs
Saturday, 1 August 202618:30Updated today
Stoke City

Stoke City

Home
vs
18:30
Valencia

Valencia

Away
W
GoalVio prediction
Friendly match
Very hard to predict

Friendly match — very hard to predict, not included in accuracy.

Valencia33%
Stoke City33%
Draw33%
Most likely exact score1-1
Win probability
Stoke City
33%
Draw
33%
Valencia
33%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Both teams to score
Yes
Over 2.5 goals
No
xG for (Valencia)
1.48
avg per match
xG against (Valencia)
1.52
avg per match

Momentum trend

last 5 matches
ValenciaValencia
W

Probability breakdown

33% confidence
Stoke City33%
Draw33%
Valencia33%

Valencia leads with 33% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

Share this

Analysis

Match insights

Stoke City head into this in Friendlies Clubs fixture in unknown form, while Valencia arrive in mixed form (W).

Stoke City have limited home data in the engine at this stage. Valencia have limited away data in the engine at this stage.

Valencia have generated 1.48 xG per game recently while conceding 1.52 xG per match, overperforming their xG in 100% of recent matches.

There is no head-to-head data between Stoke City and Valencia in the engine.

The GoalVio engine projects a draw with 33% confidence. and a most likely scoreline of 1-1. Win probabilities: Stoke City 3333%, Draw 3333%, Valencia 3334%. BTTS: Yes, Over 2.5: No.

Recent form

Valencia

Valencia

W
vs Barcelona
23 May 2026
31
xG 1.5

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Stoke City vs Valencia?

GoalVio's model predicts a draw with 33% confidence.

What is the predicted score for Stoke City vs Valencia?

The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 1-1.

Will both teams score in Stoke City vs Valencia?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: Yes — both teams are expected to score.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Stoke City vs Valencia?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: No — fewer than 3 goals are expected.

Explore more predictions

About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
View full accuracy stats →
Responsible gambling: Predictions are generated by a statistical model for informational purposes only. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results. Learn more