Stoke City U21vs
Charlton Athletic U21
COMPLETEDEngland · Premier League Cup · 10/9/2026, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Charlton Athletic U21 · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 1-2 (10%), 0-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Stoke City U21 2-2 Charlton Athletic U21
Original prediction
Charlton Athletic U21
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 9 September 2026 at 18:39 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.56 | 35.5% | 31.1% | -4.4 pts |
| Draw | 3.95 | 23.0% | 25.1% | 2.1 pts |
| Away | 2.19 | 41.5% | 43.8% | 2.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.95 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
2.3 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–111%
- 2.1–210%
- 3.0–27%
Predicted outcome
Charlton Athletic U21
Probability
43.8%
Model confidence
43.8%
Charlton Athletic U21 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 8 · avg 1.00/1.60
GF 8 · GA 7 · avg 1.60/1.40