GGOALVIO

Sweden · Ettan - Norra · 4/1/2023, 2:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Stocksund · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Stocksund are 1W-0D-0L in their last 1 (W), averaging 5.00 scored and 2.00 conceded, while IF Karlstad are 1W-1D-0L in their last 2 (DW), averaging 1.50 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 3 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and IF Karlstad hold a 4.5-point power-rating edge (43.2 v 47.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 36.4% in the Ettan - Norra, while Stocksund holds the strongest overall chance at 36% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 67% BTTS chance and 64% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Stocksund

Probability

36.4%

Model confidence

36.4%

Stocksund has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

StocksundW

GF 5 · GA 2 · avg 5.00/2.00

BTTS 1/1O2.5 1/1
IF KarlstadDW

GF 3 · GA 2 · avg 1.50/1.00

BTTS 2/2O2.5 1/2
StocksundIF Karlstad
51.1Attack45.6
35.6Defence48.9
38.9Form44.4
43.2Power47.7
1.68xG1.66
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