Stocksundvs
IF Karlstad
COMPLETEDSweden · Ettan - Norra · 9/12/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
IF Karlstad · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 2-1 (9%), 1-2 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Stocksund 2-1 IF Karlstad
Original prediction
IF Karlstad
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 29 August 2026 at 00:06 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 4.10 | 22.0% | 35.1% | 13.1 pts |
| Draw | 3.98 | 22.6% | 25.8% | 3.1 pts |
| Away | 1.63 | 55.3% | 39.2% | -16.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-16.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–111%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–28%
Predicted outcome
IF Karlstad
Probability
39.2%
Model confidence
39.2%
IF Karlstad has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 11 · avg 2.20/2.20
GF 4 · GA 10 · avg 0.80/2.00