Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Enköping · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-2 (8%), 1-1 (8%), 2-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Stocksund 1-3 Enköping
Original prediction
Enköping
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 16 September 2026 at 18:26 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 4.33 | 20.9% | 28.1% | 7.2 pts |
| Draw | 4.75 | 19.1% | 18.8% | -0.2 pts |
| Away | 1.51 | 60.1% | 53.1% | -7.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.51 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-7.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–28%
- 2.1–18%
- 3.2–27%
Predicted outcome
Enköping
Probability
53.1%
Model confidence
53.1%
Enköping has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
StocksundLDLLL
GF 4 · GA 14 · avg 0.80/2.80
BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
EnköpingWWLDW
GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
StocksundEnköping
57.3Attack48.0
18.7Defence49.3
20.0Form56.0
32.8Power52.9
1.77xG2.32