Stocksbridge Park Steelsvs
Runcorn Linnets
COMPLETEDEngland · FA Trophy · 8/29/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Stocksbridge Park Steels · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 2-1 (10%), 2-0 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Stocksbridge Park Steels 1-2 Runcorn Linnets
Original prediction
Stocksbridge Park Steels
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 00:57 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.31 | 39.3% | 43.0% | 3.7 pts |
| Draw | 3.67 | 24.7% | 26.4% | 1.6 pts |
| Away | 2.52 | 36.0% | 30.7% | -5.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
3.7 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.2–110%
- 3.2–08%
Predicted outcome
Stocksbridge Park Steels
Probability
43.0%
Model confidence
43.0%
Stocksbridge Park Steels has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 2 · GA 9 · avg 0.40/1.80
GF 11 · GA 10 · avg 2.20/2.00