GGOALVIO

England · EFL Trophy · 11/11/2025, 7:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Wigan · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Stockport County are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LWWWL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Wigan are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DDWLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Wigan hold a 26.8-point power-rating edge (40.9 v 67.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 56.2% in the EFL Trophy, while Wigan holds the strongest overall chance at 56% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 63% BTTS chance and 65% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Wigan

Probability

56.2%

Model confidence

56.2%

Wigan has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Stockport CountyLWWWL

GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20

BTTS 1/5O2.5 3/5
WiganDDWLL

GF 4 · GA 5 · avg 0.80/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 1/5
Stockport CountyWigan
33.3Attack86.7
50.0Defence66.7
33.3Form60.0
40.9Power67.7
1.20xG2.19
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