GGOALVIO

England · EFL Trophy · 11/12/2024, 7:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Stockport County · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Stockport County are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLWLD), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Tranmere are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WLLWL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Stockport County hold an 11.4-point power-rating edge (40.9 v 29.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 38.1% in the EFL Trophy, while Stockport County holds the strongest overall chance at 38% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 57% BTTS chance and 52% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Stockport County

Probability

38.1%

Model confidence

38.1%

Stockport County has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Stockport CountyWLWLD

GF 11 · GA 9 · avg 2.20/1.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
TranmereWLLWL

GF 5 · GA 8 · avg 1.00/1.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Stockport CountyTranmere
33.3Attack0.0
50.0Defence66.7
33.3Form11.1
40.9Power29.5
1.46xG1.29
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