Stockport Countyvs
Peterborough
COMPLETEDEngland · League One · 9/26/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Stockport County · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-0 (12%), 3-0 (10%), 2-1 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Stockport County 1-0 Peterborough
Original prediction
Stockport County
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 3 September 2026 at 09:54 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.33 | 69.8% | 69.3% | -0.5 pts |
| Draw | 5.23 | 17.7% | 17.8% | 0.1 pts |
| Away | 7.40 | 12.5% | 13.0% | 0.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.33 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-0.5 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–012%
- 2.3–010%
- 3.2–110%
Predicted outcome
Stockport County
Probability
69.3%
Model confidence
69.3%
Stockport County has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 13 · GA 9 · avg 2.60/1.80
GF 6 · GA 11 · avg 1.20/2.20