GGOALVIO

England · EFL Trophy · 8/22/2023, 6:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Stockport County · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Stockport County are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (WDLDL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Manchester United U21 are 0W-0D-1L in their last 1 (L), averaging 0.00 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 6 games and 1 passed 2.5 goals, and Stockport County hold an 18.7-point power-rating edge (40.9 v 22.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 46.2% in the EFL Trophy, while Stockport County holds the strongest overall chance at 46% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 68% BTTS chance and 67% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Stockport County

Probability

46.2%

Model confidence

46.2%

Stockport County has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Stockport CountyWDLDL

GF 4 · GA 5 · avg 0.80/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 1/5
Manchester United U21L

GF 0 · GA 2 · avg 0.00/2.00

BTTS 0/1O2.5 0/1
Stockport CountyManchester United U21
33.3Attack55.6
50.0Defence0.0
33.3Form11.1
40.9Power22.2
2.00xG1.49
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