Stockport Countyvs
Leicester
COMPLETEDEngland · League One · 9/12/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Stockport County · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-0 (12%), 1-1 (11%), 1-0 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Stockport County 3-4 Leicester
Original prediction
Stockport County
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 29 August 2026 at 00:07 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.84 | 50.7% | 56.9% | 6.2 pts |
| Draw | 3.82 | 24.5% | 22.9% | -1.6 pts |
| Away | 3.75 | 24.9% | 20.3% | -4.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
6.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–012%
- 2.1–111%
- 3.1–011%
Predicted outcome
Stockport County
Probability
56.9%
Model confidence
56.9%
Stockport County has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 16 · GA 8 · avg 3.20/1.60
GF 4 · GA 9 · avg 0.80/1.80