GGOALVIO

England · EFL Trophy · 1/13/2026, 7:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Stockport County · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Stockport County are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLDWL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Harrogate Town are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (DLLLL), averaging 0.20 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Stockport County hold a 3.7-point power-rating edge (40.9 v 37.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 42.9% in the EFL Trophy, while Stockport County holds the strongest overall chance at 43% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 68% BTTS chance and 67% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Stockport County

Probability

42.9%

Model confidence

42.9%

Stockport County has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Stockport CountyWLDWL

GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Harrogate TownDLLLL

GF 1 · GA 9 · avg 0.20/1.80

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
Stockport CountyHarrogate Town
33.3Attack55.6
50.0Defence11.1
33.3Form33.3
40.9Power37.2
1.90xG1.56
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