GGOALVIO

England · League Two · 8/5/2023, 2:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Stockport County · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 2-0

Highconfidence

Stockport County are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WLLWW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Gillingham are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WLWLL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Stockport County hold a 17.9-point power-rating edge (66.4 v 48.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 65.6% in the League Two, while Stockport County holds the strongest overall chance at 66% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 40% BTTS chance and 46% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Stockport County

Probability

65.6%

Model confidence

65.6%

Stockport County has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Stockport CountyWLLWW

GF 9 · GA 9 · avg 1.80/1.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
GillinghamWLWLL

GF 7 · GA 9 · avg 1.40/1.80

BTTS 1/5O2.5 3/5
Stockport CountyGillingham
69.6Attack33.3
65.2Defence58.7
66.7Form46.4
66.4Power48.5
1.94xG0.60
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