GGOALVIO

England · EFL Trophy · 9/17/2024, 6:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Stockport County · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Stockport County are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (DWDWW), averaging 2.20 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Everton U21 are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WWLLD), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Stockport County hold a 3.7-point power-rating edge (40.9 v 37.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 38.6% in the EFL Trophy, while Stockport County holds the strongest overall chance at 39% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 58% BTTS chance and 54% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Stockport County

Probability

38.6%

Model confidence

38.6%

Stockport County has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Stockport CountyDWDWW

GF 11 · GA 3 · avg 2.20/0.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Everton U21WWLLD

GF 5 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/1.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
Stockport CountyEverton U21
33.3Attack11.1
50.0Defence55.6
33.3Form33.3
40.9Power37.2
1.52xG1.33
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