GGOALVIO

England · EFL Trophy · 12/10/2024, 7:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Bradford · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 0-2

Highconfidence

Stockport County are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WLWWL), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Bradford are 0W-3D-2L in their last 5 (DDLDL), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 1 passed 2.5 goals, and Bradford hold a 40.5-point power-rating edge (40.9 v 81.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 63.0% in the EFL Trophy, while Bradford holds the strongest overall chance at 63% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 56% BTTS chance and 62% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Bradford

Probability

63.0%

Model confidence

63.0%

Bradford has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Stockport CountyWLWWL

GF 6 · GA 4 · avg 1.20/0.80

BTTS 0/5O2.5 1/5
BradfordDDLDL

GF 3 · GA 5 · avg 0.60/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 0/5
Stockport CountyBradford
33.3Attack76.2
50.0Defence85.7
33.3Form85.7
40.9Power81.3
0.96xG2.27
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