GGOALVIO

England · EFL Trophy · 11/14/2023, 7:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Bolton · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-2

Highconfidence

Stockport County are 5W-0D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWW), averaging 2.80 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Bolton are 5W-0D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWW), averaging 2.20 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Bolton hold a 47.7-point power-rating edge (40.9 v 88.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 65.2% in the EFL Trophy, while Bolton holds the strongest overall chance at 65% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 59% BTTS chance and 66% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Bolton

Probability

65.2%

Model confidence

65.2%

Bolton has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Stockport CountyWWWWW

GF 14 · GA 5 · avg 2.80/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
BoltonWWWWW

GF 11 · GA 3 · avg 2.20/0.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Stockport CountyBolton
33.3Attack100.0
50.0Defence88.9
33.3Form88.9
40.9Power88.5
1.01xG2.46
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