Stockport County U21vs
Stoke City U21
COMPLETEDEngland · Premier League Cup · 9/4/2026, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Stockport County U21 · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 3-1 (7%), 3-2 (7%), 4-1 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Stockport County U21 4-0 Stoke City U21
Original prediction
Stockport County U21
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:12 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.68 | 33.7% | 53.3% | 19.6 pts |
| Draw | 4.18 | 21.7% | 19.1% | -2.5 pts |
| Away | 2.03 | 44.6% | 27.6% | -17.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.68 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
19.6 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.3–17%
- 2.3–27%
- 3.4–17%
Predicted outcome
Stockport County U21
Probability
53.3%
Model confidence
53.3%
Stockport County U21 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 13 · avg 1.80/2.60
GF 4 · GA 6 · avg 0.80/1.20