Stockport County U21vs
Charlton Athletic U21
COMPLETEDEngland · Premier League Cup · 8/26/2026, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Charlton Athletic U21 · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 2-1 (9%), 1-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Stockport County U21 1-2 Charlton Athletic U21
Original prediction
Charlton Athletic U21
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 00:48 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.20 | 28.2% | 35.8% | 7.6 pts |
| Draw | 4.42 | 20.4% | 26.5% | 6.1 pts |
| Away | 1.75 | 51.4% | 37.7% | -13.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.75 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-13.7 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–09%
Predicted outcome
Charlton Athletic U21
Probability
37.7%
Model confidence
37.7%
Charlton Athletic U21 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 0 · GA 3 · avg 0.00/3.00
GF 5 · GA 11 · avg 1.00/2.20