GGOALVIO

Sweden · Ettan - Norra · 9/5/2026, 11:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Stockholm Internazionale · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5

Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 1-0 (11%), 2-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

Stockholm Internazionale 3-0 Hammarby Talang

Original prediction

Stockholm Internazionale

Outcome

Correct

Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:14 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home2.1143.4%45.3%1.9 pts
Draw3.1928.6%27.6%-1.1 pts
Away3.2728.0%27.2%-0.8 pts

Historical EV

1X2 1.11 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

1.9 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.1–113%
  2. 2.1–011%
  3. 3.2–010%

Predicted outcome

Stockholm Internazionale

Probability

45.3%

Model confidence

45.3%

Stockholm Internazionale has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Stockholm InternazionaleWLWWL

GF 9 · GA 6 · avg 1.80/1.20

BTTS 1/5O2.5 3/5
Hammarby TalangDDLDL

GF 2 · GA 6 · avg 0.40/1.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
Stockholm InternazionaleHammarby Talang
52.2Attack16.7
61.1Defence83.3
53.3Form33.3
56.4Power48.3
1.66xG0.99
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