Stockholm Internazionalevs
Gefle IF
COMPLETEDSweden · Ettan - Norra · 10/17/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Stockholm Internazionale · BTTS No · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 3-0 (14%), 2-0 (12%), 4-0 (12%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Stockholm Internazionale 1-1 Gefle IF
Original prediction
Stockholm Internazionale
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 17 September 2026 at 00:36 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.24 | 73.4% | 84.4% | 11.0 pts |
| Draw | 5.66 | 16.1% | 10.3% | -5.7 pts |
| Away | 8.63 | 10.5% | 5.3% | -5.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 4.66 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
11.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.3–014%
- 2.2–012%
- 3.4–012%
Predicted outcome
Stockholm Internazionale
Probability
84.4%
Model confidence
84.4%
Stockholm Internazionale has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 15 · GA 4 · avg 3.00/0.80
GF 4 · GA 7 · avg 0.80/1.40