GGOALVIO

Iceland · Úrvalsdeild · 5/8/2026, 7:15:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

KR Reykjavik · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-4

Lowconfidence

Stjarnan are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LLLWW), averaging 2.20 scored and 2.60 conceded, while KR Reykjavik are 5W-0D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWW), averaging 4.40 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 10 of those 10 games and 10 passed 2.5 goals, and KR Reykjavik hold a 24.5-point power-rating edge (42.3 v 66.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-4 the most likely exact scoreline at 6.8% in the Úrvalsdeild, while KR Reykjavik holds the strongest overall chance at 58% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 91% BTTS chance and 96% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

KR Reykjavik

Probability

57.9%

Model confidence

6.8%

KR Reykjavik has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

StjarnanLLLWW

GF 11 · GA 13 · avg 2.20/2.60

BTTS 5/5O2.5 5/5
KR ReykjavikWWWWW

GF 22 · GA 9 · avg 4.40/1.80

BTTS 5/5O2.5 5/5
StjarnanKR Reykjavik
61.1Attack100.0
20.4Defence27.8
38.9Form72.2
42.3Power66.8
2.72xG4.30
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