Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-2 (7%), 2-3 (6%), 3-2 (6%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Stjarnan 1-0 Keflavik
Original prediction
Draw
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 5 August 2026 at 01:21 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5-unified-score-distribution.
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–27%
- 2.2–36%
- 3.3–26%
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
20.4%
Model confidence
6.8%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
StjarnanWLLWL
GF 5 · GA 13 · avg 1.00/2.60
BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
KeflavikWLWLD
GF 11 · GA 10 · avg 2.20/2.00
BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
StjarnanKeflavik
62.7Attack54.9
15.7Defence35.3
35.3Form43.1
40.0Power45.6
2.65xG2.66