Stjarnanvs
KA Akureyri
COMPLETEDIceland · Úrvalsdeild · 10/10/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Stjarnan · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 3-2 (7%), 2-2 (7%), 3-1 (6%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Stjarnan 0-3 KA Akureyri
Original prediction
Stjarnan
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 13 September 2026 at 21:06 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.80 | 50.4% | 45.3% | -5.1 pts |
| Draw | 4.31 | 21.1% | 24.1% | 3.0 pts |
| Away | 3.19 | 28.5% | 30.6% | 2.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-5.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.3–27%
- 2.2–27%
- 3.3–16%
Predicted outcome
Stjarnan
Probability
45.3%
Model confidence
45.3%
Stjarnan has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 12 · GA 9 · avg 2.40/1.80
GF 10 · GA 11 · avg 2.00/2.20