Stjarnanvs
IBV Vestmannaeyjar
COMPLETEDIceland · Úrvalsdeild · 9/13/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Stjarnan · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-2 (7%), 2-1 (7%), 3-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Stjarnan 2-0 IBV Vestmannaeyjar
Original prediction
Stjarnan
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 12 September 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.80 | 50.5% | 55.0% | 4.5 pts |
| Draw | 4.00 | 22.7% | 18.1% | -4.6 pts |
| Away | 3.37 | 26.9% | 26.9% | 0.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.80 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
4.5 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–27%
- 2.2–17%
- 3.3–27%
Predicted outcome
Stjarnan
Probability
55.0%
Model confidence
55.0%
Stjarnan has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 7 · avg 2.00/1.40
GF 5 · GA 9 · avg 1.00/1.80