Stjarnanvs
IBV Vestmannaeyjar
COMPLETEDIceland · Úrvalsdeild · 9/6/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Stjarnan · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-1 (7%), 2-2 (7%), 3-1 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Stjarnan 2-2 IBV Vestmannaeyjar
Original prediction
Stjarnan
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:26 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.73 | 52.5% | 55.8% | 3.2 pts |
| Draw | 4.05 | 22.4% | 18.2% | -4.3 pts |
| Away | 3.63 | 25.0% | 26.1% | 1.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 3.05 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
3.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–17%
- 2.2–27%
- 3.3–17%
Predicted outcome
Stjarnan
Probability
55.8%
Model confidence
55.8%
Stjarnan has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 7 · avg 2.20/1.40
GF 4 · GA 9 · avg 0.80/1.80