GGOALVIO

Iceland · Úrvalsdeild · 5/22/2026, 7:15:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Fram Reykjavik · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-4

Lowconfidence

Stjarnan are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (DLLLL), averaging 1.60 scored and 2.60 conceded, while Fram Reykjavik are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (DWWWL), averaging 2.80 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 9 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Fram Reykjavik hold a 20.9-point power-rating edge (42.3 v 63.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-4 the most likely exact scoreline at 6.8% in the Úrvalsdeild, while Fram Reykjavik holds the strongest overall chance at 60% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 89% BTTS chance and 94% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Fram Reykjavik

Probability

60.2%

Model confidence

6.8%

Fram Reykjavik has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

StjarnanDLLLL

GF 8 · GA 13 · avg 1.60/2.60

BTTS 5/5O2.5 4/5
Fram ReykjavikDWWWL

GF 14 · GA 9 · avg 2.80/1.80

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
StjarnanFram Reykjavik
61.1Attack83.3
20.4Defence37.0
38.9Form68.5
42.3Power63.2
2.39xG4.00
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