GGOALVIO

Iceland · Úrvalsdeild · 4/17/2026, 8:15:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Stjarnan · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1

Lowconfidence

Stjarnan are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWWLD), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.80 conceded, while FH hafnarfjordur are 0W-3D-2L in their last 5 (DDLDL), averaging 1.80 scored and 2.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 9 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Stjarnan hold a 2.4-point power-rating edge (42.3 v 39.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 8.1% in the Úrvalsdeild, while Stjarnan holds the strongest overall chance at 50% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 77% BTTS chance and 79% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Stjarnan

Probability

49.8%

Model confidence

8.1%

Stjarnan has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

StjarnanWWWLD

GF 11 · GA 9 · avg 2.20/1.80

BTTS 5/5O2.5 4/5
FH hafnarfjordurDDLDL

GF 9 · GA 12 · avg 1.80/2.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 2/5
StjarnanFH hafnarfjordur
61.1Attack40.7
20.4Defence40.7
38.9Form31.5
42.3Power39.9
2.43xG1.81
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