Stirling Albionvs
Spartans
COMPLETEDScotland · League Two · 9/5/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Spartans · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-2 (9%), 1-1 (8%), 2-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Stirling Albion 0-2 Spartans
Original prediction
Spartans
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:17 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.59 | 25.4% | 29.5% | 4.1 pts |
| Draw | 3.55 | 25.8% | 27.0% | 1.2 pts |
| Away | 1.88 | 48.8% | 43.4% | -5.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.88 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-5.3 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–29%
- 2.1–18%
- 3.2–27%
Predicted outcome
Spartans
Probability
43.4%
Model confidence
43.4%
Spartans has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 12 · avg 1.80/2.40
GF 13 · GA 9 · avg 2.60/1.80