Stirling Albionvs
Kelty Hearts
COMPLETEDScotland · League Two · 10/10/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Kelty Hearts · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (9%), 1-2 (9%), 2-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Stirling Albion 2-1 Kelty Hearts
Original prediction
Kelty Hearts
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 13 September 2026 at 21:14 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.38 | 38.3% | 34.0% | -4.3 pts |
| Draw | 3.52 | 25.9% | 27.4% | 1.5 pts |
| Away | 2.55 | 35.8% | 38.6% | 2.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
2.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–19%
- 2.1–29%
- 3.2–27%
Predicted outcome
Kelty Hearts
Probability
38.6%
Model confidence
38.6%
Kelty Hearts has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 13 · avg 1.80/2.60
GF 9 · GA 13 · avg 1.80/2.60