GGOALVIO

Scotland · League One · 8/26/2023, 2:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Stirling Albion · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Stirling Albion are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LLLWW), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Kelty Hearts are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WLWDW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Kelty Hearts hold a 3.3-point power-rating edge (40.5 v 43.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 33.9% in the League One, while Stirling Albion holds the strongest overall chance at 34% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 54% BTTS chance and 48% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Stirling Albion

Probability

33.9%

Model confidence

33.9%

Stirling Albion has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Stirling AlbionLLLWW

GF 3 · GA 8 · avg 0.60/1.60

BTTS 1/5O2.5 3/5
Kelty HeartsWLWDW

GF 9 · GA 6 · avg 1.80/1.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Stirling AlbionKelty Hearts
35.1Attack44.4
47.4Defence41.7
35.1Form40.7
40.5Power43.9
1.30xG1.30
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